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This week in smart money · Read the latest Sunday Brief →
Full portfolio ↓
This week, the smart money is most confident in Uber, Microsoft & Alphabet — and newly buying Netflix.
Top pick this week · 88% strong
The single most-agreed-upon stock in the model right now — held by 17 tracked funds · 1 member of Congress · insiders buying.
See why it ranks #1 →
17
funds hold it
1 in Congress
2 new buys
Insiders buying
Top conviction now
New buying this quarter
Multi-source signals
5 stocks confirmed by more than one source. See all →
Model track record
Current Holdings
A deliberately concentrated book — the 10 highest-conviction names, ranked by smart-money confidence: one 0–100 score for how much of the informed money we track (hedge funds, Congress, insiders) is leaning bullish on each stock. Fewer, stronger positions by design — not a thin list.
Want the full universe? The Stocks explorer ranks every tracked position by the same score.
How it works →
All Investors
Combined conviction signals from all tracked investors across every strategy.
50 investors total
Steady Compounders
Long-term value investors with decades of proven track records. Patient, buy-and-hold, quality-focused.
14 investors
Innovation Edge
Tech and growth-focused investors targeting innovation, AI, software, and disruptive companies.
14 investors
Bold Strategists
Macro, activist, and contrarian investors making bold, concentrated bets on market dislocations.
22 investors
10 stocks · ranked by smart-money confidence
| # | Company | Price | Region | Sector | Smart-money ⓘ ▼ | Trend | Insider | Investors | Filing date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
$75.95 +2.2% | USA | Consumer | STRONG · 88% | → | ▲ Bullish | 2026-06-30 | |
| 2 |
|
$495.40 +27.4% | USA | Technology | HIGH · 77% | → | — Neutral | 2026-06-30 | |
| 3 |
|
$345.90 -5.8% | USA | Technology | HIGH · 74% | → | ▼ Bearish | 2026-06-30 | |
| 4 |
|
$401.73 -6.2% | USA | Healthcare | MODERATE · 63% | → | — Neutral | 2026-03-31 | |
| 5 |
|
$262.65 +6.8% | USA | Technology | MODERATE · 62% | → | ▼ Bearish | 2026-06-30 | |
| 6 |
|
$78.16 +2.6% | USA | Communications | MODERATE · 58% | → | ▼ Bearish | 2026-06-30 | |
| 7 |
|
$512.82 +3.8% | Europe Sweden | Communications | MODERATE · 57% | → | ▼ Bearish | 2026-06-30 | |
| 8 |
|
$342.48 -2.0% | USA | Financials | MODERATE · 50% | → | ▼ Bearish | 2026-06-30 | |
| 9 |
|
$212.43 -8.8% | USA | Healthcare | WEAK · 44% | → | — Neutral | 2026-03-31 | |
| 10 |
|
$77.64 +5.0% | Americas Canada | Consumer | WEAK · 38% | → | ▼ Bearish | 2026-03-31 |
Consumer
USA
+2.2%
▲ Bullish
Technology
USA
+27.4%
Technology
USA
-5.8%
▼ Bearish
Healthcare
USA
-6.2%
Technology
USA
+6.8%
▼ Bearish
Communications
USA
+2.6%
▼ Bearish
Communications
Europe
+3.8%
▼ Bearish
Financials
USA
-2.0%
▼ Bearish
Healthcare
USA
-8.8%
Consumer
Americas
+5.0%
▼ Bearish
AMAZON COM INC
Technology · USA
62%
confidence
Rank #5 of 10 holdings this week
Why this ranks high
Held by 28 tracked investors
9 actively adding to their stake
1 member of Congress holding
15 trimming exposure
28investors
0new
9adding
15trimming
1congress
Highest-conviction holders % of that investor's portfolio
Adding 9
Baupost Group (Klarman)
+47%
Pershing Square (Ackman)
+19%
ARK Invest (Cathie Wood)
+12%
D1 Capital Partners (Sundheim)
+35%
Bridgewater Associates (Dalio)
+125%
Light Street Capital (Kacher)
+80%
Appaloosa Management (Tepper)
+98%
Glenview Capital Mgmt (Robbins)
+16%
AQR Capital Management
+6%
Trimming 15
Duquesne Family Office (Druckenmiller)
-94%
Viking Global Investors
-62%
Soros Fund Management (Soros)
-18%
Coatue Management
-20%
Baillie Gifford & Co
-4%
Whale Rock Capital
-2%
Elliott Investment Mgmt
-6%
Third Point (Loeb)
-10%
Tudor Investment (Paul Tudor Jones)
-43%
Gotham Asset Mgmt (Greenblatt)
-20%
Point72 (Steve Cohen)
-6%
D.E. Shaw & Co
-22%
Citadel Advisors
-43%
Millennium Management (Englander)
-23%
Dan Crenshaw (R-TX, House)
Holding steady 5
Markel Group (Tom Gayner)
Tiger Global Management
Polen Capital Management
Alkeon Capital Management
Davis Selected Advisers
View full AMAZON COM INC breakdown ›
MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC
Healthcare · USA
44%
confidence
Rank #9 of 10 holdings this week
Why this ranks high
Held by 10 tracked investors
1 opened a NEW position this quarter
3 actively adding to their stake
5 trimming exposure
10investors
1new
3adding
5trimming
Highest-conviction holders % of that investor's portfolio
New positions 1
Scion Asset Mgmt (Burry)
NEW
Adding 3
Point72 (Steve Cohen)
+275%
Citadel Advisors
+11%
AQR Capital Management
+598%
Trimming 5
Bridgewater Associates (Dalio)
-92%
Tudor Investment (Paul Tudor Jones)
-85%
Gotham Asset Mgmt (Greenblatt)
-83%
D.E. Shaw & Co
-79%
Millennium Management (Englander)
-80%
Holding steady 1
Baupost Group (Klarman)
View full MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC breakdown ›
MICROSOFT CORP
Technology · USA
77%
confidence
Rank #2 of 10 holdings this week
Why this ranks high
Held by 23 tracked investors
3 opened a NEW position this quarter
6 actively adding to their stake
2 members of Congress holding
14 trimming exposure
23investors
3new
6adding
14trimming
2congress
Highest-conviction holders % of that investor's portfolio
New positions 3
Pershing Square (Ackman)
NEW
Whale Rock Capital
NEW
Jared Moskowitz (?-FL, House)
NEW
Adding 6
Polen Capital Management
+3%
Bridgewater Associates (Dalio)
+10%
Davis Selected Advisers
+29%
Gotham Asset Mgmt (Greenblatt)
+7%
AQR Capital Management
+60%
Millennium Management (Englander)
+22%
Trimming 14
Viking Global Investors
-28%
Soros Fund Management (Soros)
-19%
Tiger Global Management
-54%
Coatue Management
-52%
Baillie Gifford & Co
-30%
ARK Invest (Cathie Wood)
-6%
Elliott Investment Mgmt
-7%
Alkeon Capital Management
-39%
Appaloosa Management (Tepper)
-82%
Tudor Investment (Paul Tudor Jones)
-6%
Point72 (Steve Cohen)
-83%
D.E. Shaw & Co
-10%
Citadel Advisors
-19%
Thomas H. Kean (?-NJ, House)
Holding steady 2
Pabrai Investment Funds (Pabrai)
Markel Group (Tom Gayner)
View full MICROSOFT CORP breakdown ›
ALPHABET INC
Technology · USA
74%
confidence
Rank #3 of 10 holdings this week
Why this ranks high
Held by 28 tracked investors
4 opened a NEW position this quarter
9 actively adding to their stake
4 members of Congress holding
14 trimming exposure
28investors
4new
9adding
14trimming
4congress
Highest-conviction holders % of that investor's portfolio
New positions 4
Lone Pine Capital (Mandel)
NEW
D1 Capital Partners (Sundheim)
NEW
Third Point (Loeb)
NEW
Jerry Moran (?-, Senate)
NEW
Adding 9
Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett)
+204%
Himalaya Capital (Li Lu)
+4%
Baillie Gifford & Co
+2%
Whale Rock Capital
+27%
Bridgewater Associates (Dalio)
+26%
Gotham Asset Mgmt (Greenblatt)
+5%
Point72 (Steve Cohen)
+112%
D.E. Shaw & Co
+76%
AQR Capital Management
+28%
Trimming 14
Pershing Square (Ackman)
-95%
Viking Global Investors
-10%
Soros Fund Management (Soros)
-10%
Coatue Management
-37%
Icahn Enterprises (Icahn)
-3%
Polen Capital Management
-4%
Light Street Capital (Kacher)
-68%
Alkeon Capital Management
-13%
Tudor Investment (Paul Tudor Jones)
-26%
Citadel Advisors
-3%
Millennium Management (Englander)
-38%
Dan Newhouse (?-WA, House)
Thomas H. Kean (?-NJ, House)
Dan Crenshaw (R-TX, House)
Holding steady 5
Markel Group (Tom Gayner)
Tiger Global Management
Elliott Investment Mgmt
Tweedy Browne
Davis Selected Advisers
View full ALPHABET INC breakdown ›
NETFLIX INC
Communications · USA
58%
confidence
Rank #6 of 10 holdings this week
Why this ranks high
Held by 15 tracked investors
4 opened a NEW position this quarter
4 actively adding to their stake
6 trimming exposure
15investors
4new
4adding
6trimming
Highest-conviction holders % of that investor's portfolio
New positions 4
Soros Fund Management (Soros)
NEW
Markel Group (Tom Gayner)
NEW
Whale Rock Capital
NEW
Point72 (Steve Cohen)
NEW
Adding 4
ARK Invest (Cathie Wood)
+31%
Bridgewater Associates (Dalio)
+330%
Gotham Asset Mgmt (Greenblatt)
+45%
AQR Capital Management
+11%
Trimming 6
Coatue Management
-36%
Baillie Gifford & Co
-41%
Tudor Investment (Paul Tudor Jones)
-87%
D.E. Shaw & Co
-86%
Citadel Advisors
-75%
Millennium Management (Englander)
-32%
Holding steady 1
Tiger Global Management
View full NETFLIX INC breakdown ›
UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC
Healthcare · USA
63%
confidence
Rank #4 of 10 holdings this week
Why this ranks high
Held by 13 tracked investors
1 opened a NEW position this quarter
6 actively adding to their stake
2 members of Congress holding
7 trimming exposure
13investors
1new
6adding
7trimming
2congress
Highest-conviction holders % of that investor's portfolio
New positions 1
Alan Armstrong (?-, Senate)
NEW
Adding 6
Soros Fund Management (Soros)
+14%
Tweedy Browne
+49%
Tudor Investment (Paul Tudor Jones)
+40%
Gotham Asset Mgmt (Greenblatt)
+53%
D.E. Shaw & Co
+24%
AQR Capital Management
+36%
Trimming 7
Tiger Global Management
-17%
Baillie Gifford & Co
-48%
Appaloosa Management (Tepper)
-55%
Davis Selected Advisers
-2%
Point72 (Steve Cohen)
-20%
Citadel Advisors
-47%
Dan Newhouse (?-WA, House)
Holding steady 1
Millennium Management (Englander)
View full UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC breakdown ›
UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC
Consumer · USA
88%
confidence
Rank #1 of 10 holdings this week
Why this ranks high
Held by 17 tracked investors
2 opened a NEW position this quarter
7 actively adding to their stake
1 member of Congress holding
6 trimming exposure
17investors
2new
7adding
6trimming
1congress
Highest-conviction holders % of that investor's portfolio
New positions 2
Point72 (Steve Cohen)
NEW
Dan Newhouse (?-WA, House)
NEW
Adding 7
Polen Capital Management
+5%
Alkeon Capital Management
+15%
Appaloosa Management (Tepper)
+242%
Tudor Investment (Paul Tudor Jones)
+3%
Glenview Capital Mgmt (Robbins)
+106%
Gotham Asset Mgmt (Greenblatt)
+82%
AQR Capital Management
+84%
Trimming 6
Soros Fund Management (Soros)
-16%
Baillie Gifford & Co
-7%
Bridgewater Associates (Dalio)
-97%
D.E. Shaw & Co
-8%
Citadel Advisors
-12%
Millennium Management (Englander)
-66%
Holding steady 3
Pershing Square (Ackman)
Markel Group (Tom Gayner)
Tiger Global Management
View full UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC breakdown ›
AMERICAN EXPRESS CO
Financials · USA
50%
confidence
Rank #8 of 10 holdings this week
Why this ranks high
Held by 13 tracked investors
1 opened a NEW position this quarter
5 actively adding to their stake
3 trimming exposure
13investors
1new
5adding
3trimming
Highest-conviction holders % of that investor's portfolio
New positions 1
Tudor Investment (Paul Tudor Jones)
NEW
Adding 5
Polen Capital Management
+12%
D.E. Shaw & Co
+4253%
Citadel Advisors
+24%
AQR Capital Management
+87%
Millennium Management (Englander)
+67%
Trimming 3
Bridgewater Associates (Dalio)
-32%
Tweedy Browne
-2%
Davis Selected Advisers
-4%
Holding steady 4
Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett)
Markel Group (Tom Gayner)
Elliott Investment Mgmt
Gotham Asset Mgmt (Greenblatt)
View full AMERICAN EXPRESS CO breakdown ›
SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY S A
Communications · Europe
57%
confidence
Rank #7 of 10 holdings this week
Why this ranks high
Held by 15 tracked investors
7 actively adding to their stake
6 trimming exposure
15investors
0new
7adding
6trimming
Highest-conviction holders % of that investor's portfolio
Adding 7
Tiger Global Management
+25%
Lone Pine Capital (Mandel)
+288%
Bridgewater Associates (Dalio)
+55%
Gotham Asset Mgmt (Greenblatt)
+50%
Citadel Advisors
+40%
AQR Capital Management
+13%
Millennium Management (Englander)
+55%
Trimming 6
Coatue Management
-46%
ARK Invest (Cathie Wood)
-14%
D1 Capital Partners (Sundheim)
-14%
Tudor Investment (Paul Tudor Jones)
-95%
Point72 (Steve Cohen)
-6%
D.E. Shaw & Co
-53%
Holding steady 2
Markel Group (Tom Gayner)
Baillie Gifford & Co
View full SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY S A breakdown ›
RESTAURANT BRANDS INTL INC
Consumer · Americas
38%
confidence
Rank #10 of 10 holdings this week
Why this ranks high
Held by 11 tracked investors
1 opened a NEW position this quarter
3 actively adding to their stake
5 trimming exposure
11investors
1new
3adding
5trimming
Highest-conviction holders % of that investor's portfolio
New positions 1
Point72 (Steve Cohen)
NEW
Adding 3
Bridgewater Associates (Dalio)
+31%
Gotham Asset Mgmt (Greenblatt)
+61%
Citadel Advisors
+75%
Trimming 5
Duquesne Family Office (Druckenmiller)
-62%
Davis Selected Advisers
-10%
D.E. Shaw & Co
-70%
AQR Capital Management
-36%
Millennium Management (Englander)
-75%
Holding steady 2
Baupost Group (Klarman)
Pershing Square (Ackman)
View full RESTAURANT BRANDS INTL INC breakdown ›
What the book looks like
How the holdings split across sectors and regions.
Conviction scores
Geographic exposure
Sector breakdown
Time machine
What would your money have done?
Backtest, not a guarantee — see the honest caveats. Savings assumes 4%/yr.
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04
Common questions
Bogen Capital is a free, open model portfolio that tracks what 50 of the world's top institutional investors are buying through their public SEC 13F filings. It builds a conviction-scored stock portfolio by aggregating signals from hedge fund managers like Warren Buffett, Bill Ackman, Michael Burry, and Seth Klarman — updated every week.
A 13F is a quarterly report filed with the SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) by institutional investment managers who oversee more than $100 million in assets. It lists every US equity holding — stock name, CUSIP, and number of shares. All 13F data is public, free, and sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. The main limitation: filings are due up to 45 days after quarter-end, so data can be 45–135 days old.
Every stock gets a single 0–100 smart-money confidence score — the one number shown across the whole site. It blends three signals: Breadth — how many of the 42 tracked investors hold it; Size — how large a percentage of each investor's portfolio it represents; and Momentum — whether investors are actively buying (adds points) or selling (deducts points) — then layers in Congress trades and insider Form 4 buys. Investors are weighted by track record: Buffett counts double a smaller manager. It is fully deterministic — no AI or black boxes. Read the full methodology →
The model runs a weekly update every Monday, checking the latest 13F filings published to SEC EDGAR. When new quarterly disclosures arrive (typically January, April, July, October), the portfolio may change significantly as new buying and selling activity is reflected. The "Updated" date at the top of the page shows when data was last refreshed.
In a backtest covering Q1 2022 – Q4 2025 (16 quarters, 1-quarter holding period), the model returned +73.2% vs the S&P 500's +55.7% — a cumulative alpha of +17.5%. It outperformed in 12 out of 16 quarters (75% win rate). Important caveats: this backtest contains look-ahead bias since 13F data was not available in real-time during the tested periods, and the tracked investors were themselves chosen with hindsight — they're famous because they've won historically. Past performance does not predict future results. Run your own backtest →
Steady Compounders tracks value-focused, long-term investors like Buffett (Berkshire), Klarman (Baupost), and Pabrai — favouring quality businesses held for years. Innovation Edge tracks growth and tech investors like Tiger Global, Coatue, and Dragoneer — focusing on disruptive tech and consumer platforms. Bold Strategists tracks macro, activist, and contrarian investors like Ackman (Pershing Square), Druckenmiller, and Burry — willing to take concentrated, unconventional bets. The "All Investors" view combines signals from all 50.
Separate from 13F filings, the model also tracks SEC Form 4 filings — mandatory disclosures when a company's own directors, officers, or major shareholders buy or sell stock. This "insider trading" (legal) data must be filed within 2 business days, making it much faster than quarterly 13F data. When both hedge funds and company insiders are buying the same stock, it's a particularly strong signal. See insider signals →
No. Bogen Capital is purely an informational and educational tool. It is not a licensed financial product or investment service. Adrian Bogen is not a registered financial advisor. Nothing on this site constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
⚠ Disclaimer: Bogen Capital is an informational model only. Adrian Bogen is not a licensed financial advisor. Data from public SEC EDGAR 13F filings, delayed up to 135 days. Not financial advice.