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This week, the smart money is most confident in Uber, Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg & Nvidia.
Top pick this week · 88% strong
The single most-agreed-upon stock in the model right now — held by 11 tracked funds · 1 member of Congress · insiders buying.
See why it ranks #1 →
11
funds hold it
1 in Congress
2 new buys
Insiders buying
多来源信号
5 stocks confirmed by more than one source. See all →
模型历史业绩
当前持仓
A deliberately concentrated book — the 10 highest-conviction names, ranked by smart-money confidence: one 0–100 score for how much of the informed money we track (hedge funds, Congress, insiders) is leaning bullish on each stock. Fewer, stronger positions by design — not a thin list.
Want the full universe? The Stocks explorer ranks every tracked position by the same score.
How it works →
All Investors
Combined conviction signals from all tracked investors across every strategy.
50 investors total
Steady Compounders
Long-term value investors with decades of proven track records. Patient, buy-and-hold, quality-focused.
14 investors
Innovation Edge
Tech and growth-focused investors targeting innovation, AI, software, and disruptive companies.
14 investors
Bold Strategists
Macro, activist, and contrarian investors making bold, concentrated bets on market dislocations.
22 investors
10 stocks · ranked by smart-money confidence
| # | 公司 | 价格 | 地区 | 行业 | Smart-money ⓘ ▼ | 趋势 | 内部人 | 投资人 | 申报日期 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
$75.95 +2.2% | USA | Consumer | STRONG · 88% | → | ▲ Bullish | 2026-03-31 | |
| 2 |
|
$426.35 -1.4% | Asia Taiwan | Technology | STRONG · 85% | → | ▲ Bullish | 2026-03-31 | |
| 3 |
|
$225.16 +14.3% | USA | Technology | MODERATE · 63% | → | ▼ Bearish | 2026-06-30 | |
| 4 |
|
$401.73 -6.2% | USA | Healthcare | MODERATE · 63% | → | — Neutral | 2026-03-31 | |
| 5 |
|
$262.65 +6.8% | USA | Technology | MODERATE · 62% | → | ▼ Bearish | 2026-06-30 | |
| 6 |
|
$43.85 +0.1% | Americas Canada | Financials | MODERATE · 56% | → | — | 2026-03-31 | |
| 7 |
|
$19.20 -2.9% | USA | Unknown | MODERATE · 52% | → | — Neutral | 2026-03-31 | |
| 8 |
|
$212.43 -8.8% | USA | Healthcare | WEAK · 44% | → | — Neutral | 2026-03-31 | |
| 9 |
|
$14.76 +0.9% | USA | Unknown | WEAK · 42% | → | — | 2026-03-31 | |
| 10 |
|
$6.51 +32.6% | USA | Unknown | WEAK · 37% | → | — Neutral | 2026-03-31 |
Consumer
USA
+2.2%
▲ Bullish
Technology
Asia
-1.4%
▲ Bullish
Technology
USA
+14.3%
▼ Bearish
Healthcare
USA
-6.2%
Technology
USA
+6.8%
▼ Bearish
Financials
Americas
+0.1%
Unknown
USA
-2.9%
Healthcare
USA
-8.8%
Unknown
USA
+0.9%
Unknown
USA
+32.6%
AMAZON COM INC
Technology · USA
62%
confidence
Rank #5 of 10 holdings this week
Why this ranks high
Held by 14 tracked investors
5 actively adding to their stake
1 member of Congress holding
10 trimming exposure
14investors
0new
5adding
10trimming
1congress
Highest-conviction holders % of that investor's portfolio
Adding 5
Pershing Square (Ackman)
+19%
Bridgewater Associates (Dalio)
+125%
Appaloosa Management (Tepper)
+98%
Glenview Capital Mgmt (Robbins)
+16%
AQR Capital Management
+6%
Trimming 10
Duquesne Family Office (Druckenmiller)
-94%
Soros Fund Management (Soros)
-18%
Elliott Investment Mgmt
-6%
Third Point (Loeb)
-10%
Tudor Investment (Paul Tudor Jones)
-43%
Point72 (Steve Cohen)
-6%
D.E. Shaw & Co
-22%
Citadel Advisors
-43%
Millennium Management (Englander)
-23%
Dan Crenshaw (R-TX, House)
View full AMAZON COM INC breakdown ›
BAUSCH HEALTH COS INC
Unknown · USA
37%
confidence
Rank #10 of 10 holdings this week
Why this ranks high
Held by 8 tracked investors
1 actively adding to their stake
4 trimming exposure
8investors
0new
1adding
4trimming
Highest-conviction holders % of that investor's portfolio
Adding 1
Bridgewater Associates (Dalio)
+37%
Trimming 4
D.E. Shaw & Co
-63%
Citadel Advisors
-39%
AQR Capital Management
-39%
Millennium Management (Englander)
-76%
Holding steady 3
Paulson & Co (Paulson)
Tudor Investment (Paul Tudor Jones)
Point72 (Steve Cohen)
View full BAUSCH HEALTH COS INC breakdown ›
ROCKET COS INC
Unknown · USA
42%
confidence
Rank #9 of 10 holdings this week
Why this ranks high
Held by 7 tracked investors
5 actively adding to their stake
2 trimming exposure
7investors
0new
5adding
2trimming
Highest-conviction holders % of that investor's portfolio
Adding 5
Point72 (Steve Cohen)
+39%
D.E. Shaw & Co
+366%
Citadel Advisors
+23%
AQR Capital Management
+181%
Millennium Management (Englander)
+179%
Trimming 2
Soros Fund Management (Soros)
-69%
Tudor Investment (Paul Tudor Jones)
-8%
View full ROCKET COS INC breakdown ›
NVIDIA CORPORATION
Technology · USA
63%
confidence
Rank #3 of 10 holdings this week
Why this ranks high
Held by 11 tracked investors
1 opened a NEW position this quarter
3 actively adding to their stake
3 members of Congress holding
10 trimming exposure
11investors
1new
3adding
10trimming
3congress
Highest-conviction holders % of that investor's portfolio
New positions 1
Cleo Fields (?-LA, House)
NEW
Adding 3
Soros Fund Management (Soros)
+61%
Bridgewater Associates (Dalio)
+21%
AQR Capital Management
+22%
Trimming 10
Elliott Investment Mgmt
-2%
Appaloosa Management (Tepper)
-13%
Third Point (Loeb)
-94%
Tudor Investment (Paul Tudor Jones)
-54%
Point72 (Steve Cohen)
-24%
D.E. Shaw & Co
-37%
Citadel Advisors
-13%
Millennium Management (Englander)
-30%
Sam Liccardo (?-, House)
Dan Newhouse (?-WA, House)
View full NVIDIA CORPORATION breakdown ›
KENVUE INC
Unknown · USA
52%
confidence
Rank #7 of 10 holdings this week
Why this ranks high
Held by 9 tracked investors
5 actively adding to their stake
2 trimming exposure
9investors
0new
5adding
2trimming
Highest-conviction holders % of that investor's portfolio
Adding 5
Soros Fund Management (Soros)
+153%
Tudor Investment (Paul Tudor Jones)
+63%
Citadel Advisors
+319%
AQR Capital Management
+764%
Millennium Management (Englander)
+46%
Trimming 2
Bridgewater Associates (Dalio)
-36%
Point72 (Steve Cohen)
-41%
Holding steady 2
Starboard Value
D.E. Shaw & Co
View full KENVUE INC breakdown ›
TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MFG LTD
Technology · Asia
85%
confidence
Rank #2 of 10 holdings this week
Why this ranks high
Held by 11 tracked investors
2 opened a NEW position this quarter
6 actively adding to their stake
1 member of Congress holding
4 trimming exposure
11investors
2new
6adding
4trimming
1congress
Highest-conviction holders % of that investor's portfolio
New positions 2
Bridgewater Associates (Dalio)
NEW
Cleo Fields (?-LA, House)
NEW
Adding 6
Soros Fund Management (Soros)
+49%
Appaloosa Management (Tepper)
+18%
Tudor Investment (Paul Tudor Jones)
+76%
D.E. Shaw & Co
+4%
Citadel Advisors
+35%
Millennium Management (Englander)
+74%
Trimming 4
Duquesne Family Office (Druckenmiller)
-9%
Third Point (Loeb)
-35%
Point72 (Steve Cohen)
-60%
AQR Capital Management
-3%
View full TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MFG LTD breakdown ›
MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC
Healthcare · USA
44%
confidence
Rank #8 of 10 holdings this week
Why this ranks high
Held by 8 tracked investors
1 opened a NEW position this quarter
3 actively adding to their stake
4 trimming exposure
8investors
1new
3adding
4trimming
Highest-conviction holders % of that investor's portfolio
New positions 1
Scion Asset Mgmt (Burry)
NEW
Adding 3
Point72 (Steve Cohen)
+275%
Citadel Advisors
+11%
AQR Capital Management
+598%
Trimming 4
Bridgewater Associates (Dalio)
-92%
Tudor Investment (Paul Tudor Jones)
-85%
D.E. Shaw & Co
-79%
Millennium Management (Englander)
-80%
View full MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC breakdown ›
BROOKFIELD CORP
Financials · Americas
56%
confidence
Rank #6 of 10 holdings this week
Why this ranks high
Held by 7 tracked investors
5 actively adding to their stake
2 trimming exposure
7investors
0new
5adding
2trimming
Highest-conviction holders % of that investor's portfolio
Adding 5
Tudor Investment (Paul Tudor Jones)
+40%
D.E. Shaw & Co
+8012%
Citadel Advisors
+391%
AQR Capital Management
+13%
Millennium Management (Englander)
+14%
Trimming 2
Pershing Square (Ackman)
-3%
Bridgewater Associates (Dalio)
-16%
View full BROOKFIELD CORP breakdown ›
UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC
Healthcare · USA
63%
confidence
Rank #4 of 10 holdings this week
Why this ranks high
Held by 8 tracked investors
1 opened a NEW position this quarter
4 actively adding to their stake
2 members of Congress holding
4 trimming exposure
8investors
1new
4adding
4trimming
2congress
Highest-conviction holders % of that investor's portfolio
New positions 1
Alan Armstrong (?-, Senate)
NEW
Adding 4
Soros Fund Management (Soros)
+14%
Tudor Investment (Paul Tudor Jones)
+40%
D.E. Shaw & Co
+24%
AQR Capital Management
+36%
Trimming 4
Appaloosa Management (Tepper)
-55%
Point72 (Steve Cohen)
-20%
Citadel Advisors
-47%
Dan Newhouse (?-WA, House)
Holding steady 1
Millennium Management (Englander)
View full UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC breakdown ›
UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC
Consumer · USA
88%
confidence
Rank #1 of 10 holdings this week
Why this ranks high
Held by 11 tracked investors
2 opened a NEW position this quarter
4 actively adding to their stake
1 member of Congress holding
5 trimming exposure
11investors
2new
4adding
5trimming
1congress
Highest-conviction holders % of that investor's portfolio
New positions 2
Point72 (Steve Cohen)
NEW
Dan Newhouse (?-WA, House)
NEW
Adding 4
Appaloosa Management (Tepper)
+242%
Tudor Investment (Paul Tudor Jones)
+3%
Glenview Capital Mgmt (Robbins)
+106%
AQR Capital Management
+84%
Trimming 5
Soros Fund Management (Soros)
-16%
Bridgewater Associates (Dalio)
-97%
D.E. Shaw & Co
-8%
Citadel Advisors
-12%
Millennium Management (Englander)
-66%
Holding steady 1
Pershing Square (Ackman)
View full UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC breakdown ›
持仓结构一览
持仓在各行业与地区的分布情况。
Conviction scores
Geographic exposure
Sector breakdown
Time machine
What would your money have done?
Backtest, not a guarantee — see the honest caveats. Savings assumes 4%/yr.
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04
常见问题
Bogen Capital is a free, open model portfolio that tracks what 50 of the world's top institutional investors are buying through their public SEC 13F filings. It builds a conviction-scored stock portfolio by aggregating signals from hedge fund managers like Warren Buffett, Bill Ackman, Michael Burry, and Seth Klarman — updated every week.
A 13F is a quarterly report filed with the SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) by institutional investment managers who oversee more than $100 million in assets. It lists every US equity holding — stock name, CUSIP, and number of shares. All 13F data is public, free, and sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. The main limitation: filings are due up to 45 days after quarter-end, so data can be 45–135 days old.
Every stock gets a single 0–100 smart-money confidence score — the one number shown across the whole site. It blends three signals: Breadth — how many of the 42 tracked investors hold it; Size — how large a percentage of each investor's portfolio it represents; and Momentum — whether investors are actively buying (adds points) or selling (deducts points) — then layers in Congress trades and insider Form 4 buys. Investors are weighted by track record: Buffett counts double a smaller manager. It is fully deterministic — no AI or black boxes. Read the full methodology →
The model runs a weekly update every Monday, checking the latest 13F filings published to SEC EDGAR. When new quarterly disclosures arrive (typically January, April, July, October), the portfolio may change significantly as new buying and selling activity is reflected. The "Updated" date at the top of the page shows when data was last refreshed.
In a backtest covering Q1 2022 – Q4 2025 (16 quarters, 1-quarter holding period), the model returned +73.2% vs the S&P 500's +55.7% — a cumulative alpha of +17.5%. It outperformed in 12 out of 16 quarters (75% win rate). Important caveats: this backtest contains look-ahead bias since 13F data was not available in real-time during the tested periods, and the tracked investors were themselves chosen with hindsight — they're famous because they've won historically. Past performance does not predict future results. Run your own backtest →
Steady Compounders tracks value-focused, long-term investors like Buffett (Berkshire), Klarman (Baupost), and Pabrai — favouring quality businesses held for years. Innovation Edge tracks growth and tech investors like Tiger Global, Coatue, and Dragoneer — focusing on disruptive tech and consumer platforms. Bold Strategists tracks macro, activist, and contrarian investors like Ackman (Pershing Square), Druckenmiller, and Burry — willing to take concentrated, unconventional bets. The "All Investors" view combines signals from all 50.
Separate from 13F filings, the model also tracks SEC Form 4 filings — mandatory disclosures when a company's own directors, officers, or major shareholders buy or sell stock. This "insider trading" (legal) data must be filed within 2 business days, making it much faster than quarterly 13F data. When both hedge funds and company insiders are buying the same stock, it's a particularly strong signal. See insider signals →
No. Bogen Capital is purely an informational and educational tool. It is not a licensed financial product or investment service. Adrian Bogen is not a registered financial advisor. Nothing on this site constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
⚠ Disclaimer: Bogen Capital is an informational model only. Adrian Bogen is not a licensed financial advisor. Data from public SEC EDGAR 13F filings, delayed up to 135 days. Not financial advice.